Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 22

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	7
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.45	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.26	7
	1.45	4.22	7.33	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7.5
	1.42	4.3	6.86
	1.45	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	4.19 ↓ (4.33)	6.77 ↓ (7.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chorley
64.3%

Draw
22.1%

Rushall Olympic
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

21.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

12.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rushall Olympic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorley - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Hall K. (Pen),
40', 2 - 0, Calveley M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 2 - 1, Hull J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chorley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rushall has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rushall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chorley is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
14.12.24	Hereford - Chorley	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Chorley - Warrington Rylands	3:2 ✺
English National League North
30.11.24	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	0:3 ✺
26.11.24	Farsley - Chorley	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Chester - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Rushall Olympic
English National League North
14.12.24	Rushall Olympic - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
10.12.24	South Shields - Rushall Olympic	7:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
English National League North
30.11.24	Hereford - Rushall Olympic	3:0 ✺
26.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.03.24	Chorley - Rushall Olympic	2:1
21.10.23	Rushall Olympic - Chorley	5:0
English NPL Premier Division
15.03.14	Rushall Olympic - Chorley	1:0
25.02.14	Chorley - Rushall Olympic	0:1

Upcoming Matches