Match Info

K League 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yishunsin Stadium (Asan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Chungnam Asan		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.9	Watch
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.65	3.35	1.97
	3.99	3.52	2
	3.9	3.46	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	4	3.32	1.93	Watch
	3.65	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.22)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chungnam Asan
24.9%

Draw
27.9%

Incheon United
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

28.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chungnam Asan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Chungnam Asan - Incheon United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 25. Park J. 6. Choi Hee-Won 47. Lee Eun-Bum 14. Lee Hak-Min (C) 77. Chung M. 38. Kim Jung-Hyun 19. Yu Dong-Gyu 22. Kim Seung-Ho 27. Jung S. 9. Kim Jong-Min	1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 23. Park Kyung-sub 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 28. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 14. Barrow M. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho
Substitutes
7. Denisson Silva 20. Jo Ju-yeong 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 17. Kim Ju-Sung 44. Lee Yeon-woo 45. Sato M. 28. Son Jun-Ho	20. Delbridge H. 21. Hwang Seong-Min (G) 19. Kim Min-Seog 17. Kim Seong-Min 6. Mun Ji-Hwan 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Gerso ⚽, Lee Myoung-Joo (A),
11', Park Seung-Ho 🟨,
24', Kim Jung-Hyun 🟨,
43', Jung S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Barrow M. ⚽, Mugosa S. (A),
59', Jung S. ↓, Denisson Silva ↑,
59', Yu Dong-Gyu ↓, Sato M. ↑,
59', Kim Jung-Hyun ↓, Son Jun-Ho ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Gerso ⚽, Barrow M. (A),
62', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
69', Kim Jong-Min 🟨,
71', Lee Hak-Min ↓, Kim Ju-Sung ↑,
75', Barrow M. ↓, Kim Min-Seog ↑,
87', Kim Myung-Sun ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
87', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Mun Ji-Hwan ↑,
87', Chung M. ↓, Jo Ju-yeong ↑,
87', Gerso ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

Chungnam Asan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Incheon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Incheon has had a series of home games.

Incheon might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chungnam Asan
South Korean K-League 2
04.05.25	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Chungnam Asan - Ansan Greeners	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Chungnam Asan - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gimpo - Chungnam Asan	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chungnam Asan - Cheongju	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
04.05.25	Incheon United - Gimpo	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Bucheon - Incheon United	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Incheon United - Cheonan City	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Incheon United - Pyeongchang United	2:1 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
13.04.25	Incheon United - Cheongju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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