Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Châteauroux		Troyes

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.36	Watch
	7.25	4.4	1.4
	7.5	4.35	1.4	Watch
	7.2	4.7	1.35
	8.48	4.92	1.39
	8.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	7.8	4.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.89 ↑ (6)	4.69 ↑ (4.16)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
11.9%

Draw
20%

Troyes
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

22.5%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.3%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Châteauroux - Troyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1).

Châteauroux is Relegated to

Châteauroux was already of relegated.

Troyes has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of promoted (97%), has a good chance of win league (83%).

Châteauroux is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Troyes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Troyes is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
26.04.21	Clermont - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
20.04.21	Châteauroux - Rodez	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	Toulouse - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Grenoble - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
24.04.21	Troyes - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
20.04.21	Niort - Troyes	0:3 ✺
17.04.21	Troyes - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Paris FC - Troyes	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Troyes - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
05.01.21	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0
07.02.20	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0
30.08.19	Châteauroux - Troyes	0:1
08.03.19	Troyes - Châteauroux	1:0
05.10.18	Châteauroux - Troyes	0:3
22.05.15	Troyes - Châteauroux	4:1
01.08.14	Châteauroux - Troyes	0:1

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