Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Niort		Troyes

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.61	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.7
	4.48	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.6	3.65	1.67
	4.89	3.97	1.72
	4.8	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.8	3.94	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.82)	3.77 ↑ (3.25)	1.69 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
19.5%

Draw
24.8%

Troyes
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

28.6%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

17.9%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niort, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Niort - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1).

Niort has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Troyes has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (88%), has a good chance of win league (58%).

Niort is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Troyes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Troyes is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
17.04.21	Ajaccio - Niort	3:0 ✺
10.04.21	Niort - Auxerre	0:4 ✺
03.04.21	Clermont - Niort	0:0 ✺
20.03.21	Niort - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Dunkerque - Niort	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLTWL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
17.04.21	Troyes - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Paris FC - Troyes	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Troyes - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Amiens - Troyes	3:1 ✺
13.03.21	Troyes - Nancy	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.12.20	Troyes - Niort	1:0
26.07.19	Niort - Troyes	0:2
15.02.19	Niort - Troyes	1:1
14.09.18	Troyes - Niort	2:0
10.02.17	Niort - Troyes	3:2
16.09.16	Troyes - Niort	1:1
27.02.15	Niort - Troyes	1:0

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