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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 64.7%
Draw 21.7%
Sport Boys 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.6%
18.4%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76%
17.1%
10.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
27.3%
9.1%
Cienciano - Sport Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cienciano: 35.2% – 92%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Sport Boys (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 50%). Sport Boys (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 26. Aguilar R. 3. Becerra K. 4. Amondarain M. 16. Martinich M. 29. Robles A. 17. Sandoval R. 88. Barreto G. 19. Succar M. 10. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C. (C)
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 26. Riojas H. (C) 4. Alfani R. 55. Dulanto G. 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 5. Illanes F. 8. Da Campo N. 14. Diaz R. 9. Nequecaur L.
Substitutes
8. Aguirre G. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 11. Bandiera N. 14. Cavero S. 1. Falcon G. (G) 13. Nunez C. 37. Rojas A. 7. Souza Espana C. 27. Yovera A.
10. Alarcon J. 21. Huaman A. 30. Liza P. 7. Lopez C. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J. 11. Urruti L. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.
de la Pava J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Garces C. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
20', Alfani R. 🟨,
23', Amondarain M. 🟨,
35', Aguilar R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Aguilar R. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Nequecaur L. ⚽, Saba E. (A),
59', Succar M. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
60', Sandoval R. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
60', Barreto G. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
71', Illanes F. 🟨,
79', Nequecaur L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
79', Diaz R. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
79', Riojas H. 🟨,
85', Hohberg A. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 2 - 1, Hohberg A. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, Souza Espana C. ⚽, Arias Fierro S. D. (A),
89', Garces C. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
89', Saba E. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
89', Llontop M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
Cienciano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sport Boys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cienciano is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
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Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 
Becerra K. 
Amondarain M. 
Martinich M. 
Saba E. 
Nunez C. 
Lopez C. 
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