Match Info
Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1Date: 17 July 2026, FridayLocation: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 | Liga 1 Max |
 Peru | Movistar Deportes |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Cienciano |
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FBC Melgar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.90 |
3.40 |
3.70 |
 Watch |
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1.80 |
3.40 |
3.70 |
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1.80 |
3.70 |
4.10 |
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1.96 |
3.60 |
3.81 |
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1.89 |
3.62 |
3.83 |
Watch |
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1.83 |
3.45 |
3.70 |
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1.88 |
3.50 |
3.90 |
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1.86 |
3.40 |
3.70 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.13) |
3.51 ↑
(3.48) |
3.81 ↑
(3.18) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cienciano
49.5% | Draw
26.3% | FBC Melgar
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.Cienciano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Melgar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Cienciano is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
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Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now
FBC Melgar: 5.45% Cienciano: 3.15%
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
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| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Cienciano - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.82%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Copa Sudamericana | | | 05.03.26 | Cienciano - FBC Melgar | 2:1 penalties | | Peruvian Liga 1 | | | 31.01.26 | FBC Melgar - Cienciano | 2:0 | | 02.10.25 | FBC Melgar - Cienciano | 2:0 | | 10.05.25 | Cienciano - FBC Melgar | 1:2 | | 25.08.24 | Cienciano - FBC Melgar | 3:1 | | 30.03.24 | FBC Melgar - Cienciano | 2:0 | | 09.09.23 | Cienciano - FBC Melgar | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
