Match Info

MLS

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ScottsMiracle-Gro Field (Columbus, OH) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	19:15	fubo Sports Network
Usa	19:15	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Sports 1, Fubo Sports Network, MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
International	23:15	Apple TV International


	Columbus Crew		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	3	Watch
	2.10	3.70	3.00
	2.12	3.7	3.2
	2.17	4	3.2
	2.25	3.86	2.87	Watch
	2.18	3.8	3.05
	2.18	3.95	3.12	Watch
	2.13	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.75)	3.82 ↓ (4.33)	3.06 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbus Crew
44.1%

Draw
24.8%

Cincinnati
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

21.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Columbus Crew's form might have worsened.

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Columbus Crew - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cincinnati (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 23. Farsi M. 7. Chambost D. 17. Bangoura S. 27. Arfsten M. 16. Habroune T. 8. Gazdag D. 19. Thiare J.	18. Celentano R. (G) 11. Gidi S. 21. Miazga M. 12. Robinson M. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 5. Nwobodo O. 66. Echenique E. 17. Mboma K. 9. Denkey K. 10. Evander (C)
Substitutes
46. Adams C. 90. Akhundzade N. 18. Amundsen M. 20. Gomes A. 1. Hagen N. (G) 50. Karumanchi T. 30. Picard H. 45. Presthus O. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.	27. Anunga T. 16. Barlow T. 15. Hadebe T. 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 2. Powell A. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 24. Smith K.
Coaches
Courtois L.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Evander (A),
41', 1 - 1, Thiare J. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
45+6', 2 - 1, Gazdag D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bangoura S. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
65', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
65', Echenique E. ↓, Ramirez Leon B. J. ↑,
66', Miazga M. 🟨,
71', Miazga M. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
71', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
72', Chambost D. ↓, Karumanchi T. ↑,
79', Thiare J. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
85', Nwobodo O. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
86', Gazdag D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
86', Moreira S. ↓, Amundsen M. ↑,
90+4', Valenzuela G. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 2.

In this match, Columbus is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Knee Injury) Lennon B. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Gomes A. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:24. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 2.4:0.9).

Outrights of MLS for now

FC Cincinnati: 1.7% Columbus Crew: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbus Crew
MLS
22.07.26	Columbus Crew - New York City	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Columbus Crew - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
20.05.26	Columbus Crew - New York City	1:0 ✺
MLS
16.05.26	Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTL
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
22.07.26	Cincinnati - Vancouver Whitecaps	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Cincinnati - Burnley	3:1 ✺
MLS
23.05.26	Cincinnati - Orlando City	6:2 ✺
16.05.26	San Diego - Cincinnati	3:3 ✺
13.05.26	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
08.11.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:1
02.11.25	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	4:0
27.10.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	1:0
12.07.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:4
17.05.25	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	1:1
14.09.24	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	0:0
11.05.24	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	1:2

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