Match Info

MLS

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Cincinnati		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.74	3.98	4.73
	1.72	3.96	4.57	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.4
	1.73	4.04	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)	3.91 ↑ (3.78)	4.59 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
55.2%

Draw
24.2%

Toronto FC
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Cincinnati - Toronto FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Cincinnati (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 12. Robinson M. 3. Flores G. 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 5. Nwobodo O. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 9. Denkey K. 16. Barlow T.	1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 12. Monlouis Z. 25. Zimmerman W. 13. Kuscevic B. 21. Osorio J. 10. Mihailovic D. 8. Cifuentes J. 20. Salloi D. 17. Aristizabal E. 44. Edwards R.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 10. Evander 11. Gidi S. 15. Hadebe T. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 17. Mboma K. 2. Powell A. 24. Smith K.	71. Cimermancic M. 14. Coello A. 11. Etienne D. 19. Franklin K. 78. Henry M. 29. Kerr D. 76. Stefanovic L. 6. Thompson K. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Noonan P.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Echenique E. 🟨,
25', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
63', Valenzuela G. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
65', Edwards R. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
73', Aristizabal E. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
73', Zimmerman W. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
73', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
74', Echenique E. ↓, Evander ↑,
81', Hagglund N. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Salloi D. ⚽, Laryea R. (A),
86', Flores G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
87', Hagglund N. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
90', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
90+1', Mihailovic D. ↓, Coello A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4.

Cincinnati is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T. (Knee Injury) De Rosario A. (Hand Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kerr D. (Groin Injury) Wingo H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of MLS for now

FC Cincinnati: 2% Toronto FC: 0.69%

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
28.02.26	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
25.02.26	Cincinnati - Universidad O&M	9:0 ✺
MLS
21.02.26	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.02.26	Universidad O&M - Cincinnati	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	New England Revolution - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWT
- Toronto FC
MLS
28.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Toronto FC - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Toronto FC - AIK	2:2 ✺
MLS
18.10.25	Toronto FC - Orlando City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.05.25	Toronto FC - Cincinnati	0:1
08.03.25	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	2:0
25.05.24	Toronto FC - Cincinnati	3:4
25.02.24	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	0:0
30.09.23	Toronto FC - Cincinnati	2:3
21.06.23	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	3:0
04.05.22	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	2:0

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