The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 2 20.5%
Draw 19.5%
Crown Legacy 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
22.4%
57.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
21.9%
55.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Crown Legacy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Cincinnati 2 - Crown Legacy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Mrozek F. (G) 85. Lester D. 50. Samson F. 48. Lachekar S. 55. Lajhar A. 82. Sphire C. 57. Orejarena L. 45. Gray N. 19. Chirila S. (C) 42. Vazquez M. 30. Chavez A.
31. Wickham J. A. (G) 39. Neeley J. 63. Holt W. 34. Johnson A. 43. Sangoquiza W. (C) 58. Longo D. 20. Coulibaly B. 60. Subotic A. 71. Richmond N. 83. Mbongue H. 91. Smalls M.
Substitutes
78. Beabout O. 83. Malilo C. 44. Marioni G. 54. Mize J. 49. Ndoye A. 52. Ramos Y. 97. Saunders B.
74. Ayovi M. 77. Barnett T. 86. Brown D. 89. Mendoza A. 53. Philpot J. (G) 41. Romero B. 45. Smith J. 24. Thomas M. 79. Ventura S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Gray N. ⚽, Chirila S. (A),
61', Subotic A. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
65', Neeley J. ↓, Thomas M. ↑,
65', Johnson A. 🟨,
69', Lester D. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Mbongue H. ⚽,
77', Gray N. ↓, Mize J. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Richmond N. ⚽, Thomas M. (A),
80', Smalls M. ↓, Barnett T. ↑,
80', Richmond N. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
85', Orejarena L. ↓, Ramos Y. ↑,
90+1', Thomas M. 🟨,
90+3', Longo D. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals)).
Crown Legacy is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
Recent results have been tough for Cincinnati 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Crown Legacy has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cincinnati 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cincinnati 2 has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Crown Legacy has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Crown Legacy for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cincinnati 2 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cincinnati 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).
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Mrozek F. (G) 
Lester D. 
Samson F. 
Lachekar S. 
Lajhar A. 
Chirila S. (C) 
Vazquez M. 
Wickham J. A. (G) 
Johnson A. 
Sangoquiza W. (C) 
Coulibaly B. 
Subotic A. 
Smalls M. 
Ndoye A. 
Ramos Y. 
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