Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Cinfães		Aparecida

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.55
	1.94	3.53	3.18
	1.91	3.57	3.46	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.89	3.57	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.91)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cinfães
47.4%

Draw
26.4%

Aparecida
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cinfães have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Cinfães - Aparecida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
72', 4 - 1, ⚽,
76', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Cinfães is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Aparecida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cinfães will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cinfães won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cinfaes	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Resende - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Cinfães - Salgueiros 08	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Beira-Mar - Cinfães	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cinfães - Anadia	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Gouveia - Cinfães	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTTW
- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.04.26	Aparecida - Florgrade	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Leça - Aparecida	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Aparecida - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.12.25	Aparecida - Cinfães	1:4

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