The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 29.5%
Draw 32.4%
Modena 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
31.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
31.7%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
61.5%
15.4%
Cittadella - Modena Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% โ 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
78. Maniero L. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 13. Capradossi E. 6. Matino E. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. 8. Amatucci F. 5. Casolari F. 28. Rizza A. 31. Okwonkwo O. 7. Pandolfi L.
26. Gagno R. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 19. Zaro G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 16. Gerli F. 6. Magnino L. 5. Battistella T. 7. Duca E. 92. Defrel G. 20. Caso G.
Substitutes
45. Cardinali M. (G) 11. Desogus J. 37. Palmieri R. 26. Pavan N. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 2. Salvi A. 74. Sanogo A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.
78. Bagheria F. (G) 21. Bozhanaj K. 23. Caldara M. 9. Gliozzi E. 27. Idrissi R. 93. Kamate I. 11. Mendes P. 24. Oliva M. 8. Santoro S. 1. Seculin A. (G) 14. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.
Mandelli P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Magnino L. 🟨,
20', D'Alessio F. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Caso G. ⚽, Gerli F. (A),
29', Capradossi E. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', D'Alessio F. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
46', Casolari F. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
62', Cauz C. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
63', Battistella T. ↓, Santoro S. ↑,
63', Defrel G. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
63', Rizza A. ↓, Salvi A. ↑,
71', Matino E. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
73', Cotali M. 🟨,
80', Duca E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
85', Caso G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Mendes P. ⚽, Gliozzi E. (A),
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Cittadella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kastrati E.
(Back Injury)
Sanogo A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Modena: Di Pardo A.
(Inactive)
Palumbo A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Cittadella: Djibril A.
(Injury)
Negro S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Modena: Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.4:1.2).