The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrarese 24%
Draw 30.5%
Cremonese 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
30.2%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
29.6%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
18.2%
72.7%
Carrarese - Cremonese Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 46.4% โ 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Fiorillo V. (G) 4. Illanes J. 34. Guarino G. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 18. Schiavi N. 17. Zuelli E. 77. Belloni N. 32. Finotto M. 9. Cherubini L. 92. Torregrossa E.
1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 23. Ceccherini F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 98. Zanimacchia L. 6. Pickel C. 37. Majer Z. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 99. Nasti M. 20. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
13. Bouah D. 82. Capezzi L. 16. Cavion M. 90. Cerri L. 47. Fontanarosa A. 20. Giovane S. 28. Manzari G. 44. Mazzi G. (G) 5. Melegoni F. 10. Milanese T. 6. Oliana F. 30. Ravaglia N. (G)
90. Bonazzoli F. 9. De Luca M. 12. Drago G. (G) 55. Folino F. 14. Gelli F. 11. Johnsen D. 42. Moretti L. 5. Ravanelli L. 30. Tannander J. (G)
Coaches
Calabro A.
Stroppa G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Zanimacchia L. ⚽, Nasti M. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Finotto M. ⚽, Torregrossa E. (A),
32', Antov V. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Cherubini L. ⚽, Guarino G. (A),
45', Illanes J. 🟨,
45+1', Nasti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Antov V. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
46', Nasti M. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
53', Belloni N. 🟨,
54', Vazquez F. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
57', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
59', Belloni N. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
59', Torregrossa E. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
64', Vandeputte J. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
72', Finotto M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
74', Cherubini L. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
76', Cerri L. 🟨,
77', Melegoni F. 🟨,
81', Majer Z. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Johnsen D. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
89', Zuelli E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
90+4', Pickel C. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Carrarese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Cremonese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cremonese will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M.
(Knock)
Cicconi M.
(Yellow Cards)
Coppolaro M.
(Knee Injury)
Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shpendi S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cremonese: Barbieri T.
(Yellow Cards)
Bianchetti M.
(Yellow Cards)
Castagnetti M.
(Yellow Cards)
Collocolo M.
(Muscle Injury)
Gelli F.
(Injury)
Ravanelli L.
(Injury)
Saro G.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
Italy
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Fiorillo V. (G) 
Illanes J. 
Torregrossa E. 
Antov V. 
Pickel C. 
Majer Z. 
Vandeputte J. 
Azzi P. 
Johnsen D. 
Tannander J. (G) 
