Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	4.17	3.12	2.11
	4.04	3.15	2.06	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.95	3.24	2.04	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.82)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
24.3%

Draw
30%

Cremonese
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

28.7%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Cittadella - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 30. Negro S. 13. Capradossi E. 24. Carissoni L. 17. Tronchin S. 16. Vita A. (C) 5. Casolari F. 32. Masciangelo E. 8. Amatucci F. 7. Pandolfi L.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 98. Zanimacchia L. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Quagliata G. 20. Vazquez F. 9. De Luca M.
Substitutes
4. Angeli M. 23. Branca S. 10. Cassano C. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Magrassi A. 35. Piccinini S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 20. Voltan D.	4. Barbieri T. 10. Buonaiuto C. 23. Ceccherini F. 11. Johnsen D. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 44. Lochoshvili L. 37. Majer Z. 62. Milanese T. 99. Nasti M. 55. Prendi D. 21. Saro G. (G) 17. Sernicola L.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
19', Salvi A. 🟨,
25', Amatucci F. 🟨,
36', Capradossi E. ↓, Piccinini S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Vandeputte J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
59', Quagliata G. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
59', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
66', Negro S. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
66', Tronchin S. ↓, Branca S. ↑,
68', Vazquez F. 🟨,
78', Vazquez F. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
83', Piccinini S. 🟨,
88', Johnsen D. 🟨,
89', Vita A. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
89', Pandolfi L. ↓, Magrassi A. ↑,
90', Casolari F. 🟨,
90+3', Nasti M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0.

Cittadella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cremonese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A. (Hip Injury) Desogus J. (Hip Injury) Maniero L. (Knee Injury) Rabbi S. (Yellow Cards) Tessiore A. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Moretti L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Pavan N. (Knee Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury) Vita A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.2:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
08.12.24	Spezia - Cittadella	5:0 ✺
30.11.24	Cittadella - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Bari - Cittadella	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Cittadella - Cesena	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
08.12.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Cremonese - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Mantova - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Cremonese - Pisa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.05.24	Cremonese - Cittadella	3:0
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:1 ET
Italian Serie B
27.10.23	Cittadella - Cremonese	1:2
12.02.22	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:2
12.09.21	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:0
31.01.21	Cittadella - Cremonese	1:1
27.09.20	Cremonese - Cittadella	0:2

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