Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 13

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Cesena

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
	2.9	3.2	2.45	Watch
	3.24	3.15	2.54
	3.14	3.07	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.4
	3.01	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.91)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.45 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
31.5%

Draw
29.9%

Cesena
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Cittadella - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 18. Tessiore A. 8. Amatucci F. 17. Tronchin S. 23. Branca S. (C) 32. Masciangelo E. 7. Pandolfi L. 21. Rabbi S.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. 19. Prestia G. (C) 24. Mangraviti M. 17. Adamo E. 35. Calo G. 30. Bastoni S. 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 23. Antonucci M.
Substitutes
10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 29. Djibril A. 78. Maniero L. (G) 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 20. Voltan D.	11. Ceesay J. 13. Celia R. 4. Chiarello R. 70. Francesconi M. 8. Hraiech S. 10. Kargbo A. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 1. Pisseri M. (G) 93. Siano A. (G) 20. Tavsan E.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ciofi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, Bastoni S. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
66', Salvi A. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Shpendi C. (Pen),
68', Rabbi S. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
68', Branca S. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
69', Ciofi A. ↓, Pieraccini S. ↑,
80', Bastoni S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
80', Adamo E. ↓, Hraiech S. ↑,
84', Tronchin S. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
87', Berti T. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
87', Shpendi C. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
87', Masciangelo E. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
88', Salvi A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Cittadella: Casolari F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Negro S. (Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Carrarese - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLTL
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Salernitana - Cesena	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cesena - Sampdoria	3:5 ✺
05.10.24	Pisa - Cesena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.02.18	Cesena - Cittadella	0:1
19.09.17	Cittadella - Cesena	4:0
29.04.17	Cittadella - Cesena	2:3
10.12.16	Cesena - Cittadella	3:0
17.04.14	Cittadella - Cesena	1:0
17.11.13	Cesena - Cittadella	2:2
16.02.13	Cittadella - Cesena	1:1

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