Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Scatena G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cremonese		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5
	1.66	3.75	5	Watch
	1.69	3.93	5.45
	1.66	3.85	5.29	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.5
	1.67	3.88	5.15	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	3.81 ↓ (3.81)	5.21 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
57.1%

Draw
24.7%

Reggiana
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

23.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Cremonese - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 44. Lochoshvili L. 18. Collocolo M. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 10. Buonaiuto C. 17. Sernicola L. 90. Bonazzoli F. 20. Vazquez F.	22. Bardi F. (G) 17. Libutti L. 31. Sampirisi M. 13. Meroni A. 44. Lucchesi L. 5. Sersanti A. 16. Reinhart T. 90. Portanova M. 30. Vergara A. 23. Pettinari S. 7. Marras M.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. De Luca M. 11. Johnsen D. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 37. Majer Z. 62. Milanese T. 99. Nasti M. 3. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 27. Vandeputte J. 98. Zanimacchia L.	15. Fiamozzi R. 24. Fontanarosa A. 80. Girma N. 11. Gondo C. 25. Ignacchiti L. 77. Kabashi E. 27. Maggio M. 1. Motta E. (G) 87. Nahounou Y. 18. Okwonkwo O. 6. Stulac L. 10. Vido L.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Viali W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Vergara A. ⚽, Portanova M. (A),
13', Bonazzoli F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
36', Pickel C. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
41', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
46', Reinhart T. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
66', Vazquez F. 🟨,
69', Pettinari S. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
70', Vazquez F. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
70', Castagnetti M. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
77', Vergara A. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
77', Portanova M. ↓, Kabashi E. ↑,
79', Ignacchiti L. 🟨,
83', Libutti L. 🟨,
86', Bardi F. 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, Vido L. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
90+7', Antov V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2.

Recent matches Cremonese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reggiana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Reggiana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

There will not play in Reggiana: Rozzio P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Reggiana: Nuhu S. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Cremonese - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Mantova - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Cremonese - Pisa	1:3 ✺
29.10.24	Modena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
29.11.24	Reggiana - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Cesena - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Bari - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
29.10.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	1:1
16.09.23	Reggiana - Cremonese	2:2
13.03.21	Cremonese - Reggiana	3:0
29.11.20	Reggiana - Cremonese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.16	Cremonese - Reggiana	2:1
25.10.15	Reggiana - Cremonese	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
02.02.14	Cremonese - Reggiana	2:0

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