Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Palermo		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.66	5.24
	1.76	3.68	4.79	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.76	3.72	4.67	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.62 ↓ (3.63)	4.69 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
53.8%

Draw
26.1%

Cittadella
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Palermo - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: Palermo will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desplanches S. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 18. Nedelcearu I. 43. Nikolaou D. 32. Ceccaroni P. 6. Gomes C. (C) 11. Insigne R. 8. Segre J. 26. Verre V. 17. Di Francesco F. 21. Le Douaron J.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 16. Vita A. 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 32. Masciangelo E. 8. Amatucci F. 17. Tronchin S. 23. Branca S. (C) 7. Pandolfi L. 21. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
19. Appuah S. 9. Brunori M. 25. Buttaro A. 23. Diakite S. 7. Di Mariano F. 20. Henry T. 3. Lund K. 12. Nespola M. (G) 29. Peda P. 10. Ranocchia F. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A.	10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Magrassi A. 78. Maniero L. (G) 35. Piccinini S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Dal Canto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Rabbi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Verre V. 🟨,
65', Nikolaou D. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
66', Le Douaron J. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
66', Pierozzi N. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
66', Rabbi S. ↓, Magrassi A. ↑,
67', Tronchin S. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
75', Gomes C. 🟨,
76', Verre V. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
81', Gomes C. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
83', Branca S. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
84', Salvi A. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Pandolfi L. ⚽, D'Alessio F. (A),
90+1', Pandolfi L. 🟨,
90+3', Vita A. 🟨,
90+3', Vita A. ↓, Cecchetto A. ↑,
90+4', Pandolfi L. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0.

Recent matches Palermo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cittadella is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

There will not play in Palermo: Baniya R. (Injury) Brunori M. (Foot Injury) Di Bartolo F. (Broken Leg) Saric D. (Foot Injury) Sirigu S. (Injury)

There will not play in Cittadella: Casolari F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Palermo: Blin A. (Thigh Injury) Gomis A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Negro S. (Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Palermo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
30.10.24	Mantova - Palermo	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Palermo - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Modena - Palermo	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Palermo - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
30.09.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTLW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
30.10.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Carrarese - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1 ✺
27.09.24	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:0
12.11.23	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1
11.03.23	Cittadella - Palermo	3:3
23.10.22	Palermo - Cittadella	0:0
11.05.19	Palermo - Cittadella	2:2
30.12.18	Cittadella - Palermo	0:1
17.04.18	Cittadella - Palermo	0:0

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