Match Info

Serie B - Round 34

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3	3	2.45
	3.3	3	2.31	Watch
	3.49	3	2.33
	3.41	2.97	2.3	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.3	3.21	2.26	Watch
	3.3	3	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.71)	3.04 ↑ (2.94)	2.35 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
28.9%

Draw
31%

Salernitana
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

31.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

32.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella's form might have worsened.

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salernitana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salernitana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	33.3%	14.3%

Cittadella - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Salernitana (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cittadella (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Cittadella (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Salernitana (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Salernitana (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 13. Capradossi E. 4. Angeli M. 24. Carissoni L. 17. Tronchin S. 26. Pavan N. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 37. Palmieri R. 18. Tessiore A. 21. Rabbi S.	53. Christensen O. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. (C) 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 73. Amatucci L. 8. Hrustic A. 16. Corazza T. 18. Caligara F. 7. Tongya F. 9. Simy
Substitutes
5. Casolari F. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 78. Maniero L. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 31. Okwonkwo O. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 74. Sanogo A. 16. Vita A. 20. Voltan D.	15. Bronn D. 90. Cerri A. 2. Gentile D. 72. Girelli S. 44. Jaroszynski P. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 21. Soriano R. 70. Tello A. 31. Verde D.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Marino P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Amatucci F. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Hrustic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rabbi S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
56', Salvi A. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
56', Tessiore A. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
64', Christensen O. 🟨,
67', Caligara F. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
68', Tronchin S. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Simy ⚽,
77', Amatucci F. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
78', Simy ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
79', Hrustic A. 🟨,
90', Tongya F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1.

Cittadella is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Salernitana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Desogus J. (Inactive) Diaw D. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury) Okwonkwo O. (Yellow Cards) Palmieri R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J. (Injury) Bronn D. (Injury) Jaroszynski P. (Injury) Simy (Inactive) Wlodarczyk S. (Inactive)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Cittadella - Bari	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Frosinone - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
01.05.25	Cittadella - Brescia	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Reggiana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Salernitana - Mantova	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Spezia - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1
16.03.21	Cittadella - Salernitana	0:0
05.12.20	Salernitana - Cittadella	1:0
13.07.20	Salernitana - Cittadella	4:1
07.12.19	Cittadella - Salernitana	4:3
13.04.19	Salernitana - Cittadella	4:2
01.12.18	Cittadella - Salernitana	3:1

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