Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.1	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
	1.99	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.97	3.34	4.16
	1.94	3.33	4	Watch
	1.98	3.32	4.06	Watch
	1.99	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.07)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)	3.92 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
47.2%

Draw
28.8%

Mantova
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Salernitana - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 50%). Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. (C) 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 98. Zuccon F. 73. Amatucci L. 16. Corazza T. 31. Verde D. 21. Soriano R. 90. Cerri A.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 8. Burrai S. (C) 21. Trimboli S. 30. Bragantini D. 19. Mancuso L. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D.
Substitutes
15. Bronn D. 18. Caligara F. 72. Girelli S. 44. Jaroszynski P. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 9. Simy 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 7. Tongya F.	70. Aramu M. 24. Artioli F. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 20. Fedel G. 14. Galuppini F. 26. Giordano S. 28. Muroni M. 36. Paoletti F. 4. Solini M. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Marino P.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Brignani F. 🟨,
38', Radaelli N. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Amatucci L. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
59', Fiori A. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
69', Brignani F. ↓, De Maio S. ↑,
69', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
70', Zuccon F. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
70', Cerri A. ↓, Simy ↑,
77', Ghiglione P. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
77', Verde D. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
77', Mancuso L. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
85', Soriano R. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Simy ⚽, Ruggeri F. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Recent performances by Salernitana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mantova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salernitana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salernitana: Bronn D. (Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Hrustic A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Mantova: Redolfi A. (Injury) Ruocco F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salernitana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Spezia - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Salernitana - Palermo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
25.04.25	Cremonese - Mantova	4:2 ✺
13.04.25	Mantova - Spezia	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Brescia - Mantova	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Mantova - Salernitana	1:0

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