Match Info

Serie B - Play Out - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...


	Sampdoria		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
				Watch
	2.36	2.94	3.74
				Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.27	3.05	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	3.04 ↓ (3.21)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
41.8%

Draw
31.2%

Salernitana
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	27.8%	5.6%

Sampdoria - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Salernitana will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Cragno A. (C) 5. Riccio A. 25. Ferrari A. 72. Veroli D. 23. Depaoli F. 4. Vieira R. 28. Yepes G. 17. Meulensteen M. 18. Venuti L. 33. Sibilli G. 9. Coda M.	53. Christensen O. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. (C) 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 73. Amatucci L. 8. Hrustic A. 16. Corazza T. 18. Caligara F. 7. Tongya F. 9. Simy
Substitutes
90. Abiuso F. 15. Akinsanmiro E. 7. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 24. Bereszynski B. 16. Borini F. 2. Curto M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 44. Ioannou N. 20. Oudin R. 8. Ricci M. 84. Sekulov N.	15. Bronn D. 90. Cerri A. 72. Girelli S. 44. Jaroszynski P. 17. Njoh L. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 21. Soriano R. 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 31. Verde D.
Coaches
Evani A.	Marino P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Meulensteen M. ⚽, Ferrari A. (A),
40', Depaoli F. 🟨,
45', Yepes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
57', Tongya F. 🟨,
58', Simy 🟨,
69', Corazza T. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
69', Simy ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
72', Cragno A. ↓, Ghidotti S. ↑,
76', Coda M. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
76', Ferrari A. ↓, Curto M. ↑,
77', Venuti L. 🟨,
80', Caligara F. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
83', Meulensteen M. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
83', Venuti L. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Curto M. ⚽,
89', Tongya F. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
90+1', Borini F. 🟥,
90+6', Raimondo A. 🟨,
90+6', Stojanovic P. 🟥,
90+8', Veroli D. 🟨,
90+10', Ioannou N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sampdoria might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Perisan S. (Muscle Injury) Romagnoli S. (Injury) Tutino G. (Injury)

There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J. (Injury) Wlodarczyk S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Injury) Borini F. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Juve Stabia - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
01.05.25	Sampdoria - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Carrarese - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Cittadella - Salernitana	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Salernitana - Mantova	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Spezia - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:0
27.08.24	Salernitana - Sampdoria	3:2
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0
Italian Serie A
05.03.23	Sampdoria - Salernitana	0:0
28.08.22	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0
16.04.22	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:2
21.11.21	Salernitana - Sampdoria	0:2

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