Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Salernitana		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.55
	1.98	3.2	3.71	Watch
	2	2.9	3.4
	2.01	3.1	3.56	Watch
	2	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.06)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	3.64 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
45.4%

Draw
29.6%

Nuova Cosenza
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Salernitana (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Salernitana will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma A. (G) 2. Berra F. 5. Capomaggio G. 26. Matino E. 28. Longobardi G. 29. Tascone M. 6. de Boer K. 21. Carriero G. 14. Villa L. 7. Achik I. 10. Ferrari F.	22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Ciotti P. 26. Dametto P. 17. Caporale A. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 28. Kouan C. 10. Garritano L. 34. Florenzi A. 16. Ricciardi M. 7. Cannavo K. 90. Emmausso M.
Substitutes
33. Anastasio A. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 41. Cevers L. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 20. Ferraris A. 39. Iervolino A. 17. Knezovic B. 11. Liguori M. 24. Quirini E. 27. Ubani M.	23. Achour S. 27. Ba R. 3. Barone A. 9. Beretta G. 5. Contiero L. 19. Contiliano N. 6. Dalle Mura C. 33. Ferrara A. 12. Le Rose G. (G) 71. Mazzulla A. 1. Pompei T. (G) 21. Ragone D. 32. Rocco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Villa L. 🟨,
44', Caporale A. 🟨,
45+4', Carriero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Florenzi A. ↓, Ba R. ↑,
56', Matino E. 🟨,
68', de Boer K. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
68', Ferrari F. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
80', Emmausso M. ↓, Beretta G. ↑,
84', Ricciardi M. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
90+2', Kouan C. 🟨,
90+3', Cannavo K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Salernitana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Salernitana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Salernitana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.26	Siracusa - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Salernitana - Foggia	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Picerno - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Salernitana - Trapani	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Benevento - Salernitana	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
05.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Picerno	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
31.08.25	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:2
Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1
13.03.21	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	0:0
29.11.20	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	0:1
25.01.20	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
31.08.19	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	0:1

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