Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 24Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Città di Fasano |
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Virtus Francavilla |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.82 |
3.35 |
3.75 |
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1.85 |
3.41 |
3.85 |
 Watch |
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1.81 |
3.34 |
4 |
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1.92 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.9) |
3.38 ↑
(3.35) |
3.78 ↑
(3.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Città di Fasano
49.1% | Draw
26.9% | Virtus Francavilla
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Carretta M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 8).Fasano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Virtus Francavilla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Fasano will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fasano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).Including home matches between the teams, Fasano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 12.10.25 | Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano | 0:1 | | 30.03.25 | Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano | 1:1 | | 17.11.24 | Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla | 0:1 | | Club Friendly | | | 18.08.22 | Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla | 1:2 |
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