Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Grant Street Park (Inverness)


	Clachnacuddin		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.53
	4.50	3.80	1.58
	4.8	4.05	1.55
	4.62	4.06	1.6
	4.82	4.25	1.6	Watch
	4.55	3.95	1.57
	4.66	4.24	1.58
	4.5	3.95	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (3.44)	4.05 ↑ (3.58)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clachnacuddin
19.7%

Draw
22.4%

Elgin City
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clachnacuddin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Clachnacuddin's form might have worsened.

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elgin City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clachnacuddin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clachnacuddin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elgin City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Clachnacuddin - Elgin City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elgin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Elgin City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Colloty O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Machado M. ⚽,

Preview

Clachnacuddin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elgin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elgin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Elgin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Clachnacuddin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Clachnacuddin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elgin City ✔	5	4	0	1	14:2	12	12
29	Clachnacuddin	5	1	1	3	10:12	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clachnacuddin
Scottish Highland League
22.08.26	Clachnacuddin - Nairn County	6:1 ✺
19.08.26	Forres Mechanics - Clachnacuddin	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Clachnacuddin - Keith	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Clachnacuddin - Dundee United 2	5:0 ✺
Scottish Highland League
01.08.26	Huntly - Clachnacuddin	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWW
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
22.08.26	Spartans - Elgin City	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Elgin City - Ross County	1:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.06.22	Clachnacuddin - Elgin City	0:5
16.07.14	Clachnacuddin - Elgin City	1:2

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