Match Info

League Two - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ainslie Park (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Spartans FC TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartans		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.40
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	1.93	3.40	3.35
	2.16	3.38	3.28
	2.05	3.46	3.21	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.20
	2.01	3.50	3.50
	2.01	3.30	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.86)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	3.32 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
45.1%

Draw
27.3%

Elgin City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Spartans - Elgin City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Martin P. (G) 7. Dishington J. 15. Sonkur A. 5. Tapping J. 19. Drysdale E. 18. Walls B. 28. Craigen J. (C) 33. Whyte B. 11. Russell C. 29. Stowe M. 9. McNulty M.	1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 23. Grant M. 10. Gallagher M. 24. Mackay L. 22. MacIver J. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 9. Hester K. 11. Colloty O.
Substitutes
1. Campbell R. 6. Dall B. 14. Dinanga R. 23. Heal B. 2. Mudie M. 10. Ross M. 16. Trialist 4. Welsh S.	26. Booth L. 25. Brown C. 12. Cairns O. 18. Cummings A. 16. Hyde L. 28. McLean S. 27. Morrison J. (G) 32. Rothnie S. 17. Willox K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', Gallagher M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, McNulty M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, MacIver J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 2, Hester K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, Hester K. ⚽, Murray J. (A),
52', Girvan K. 🟨,
57', Murray J. 🟨,
65', Gallagher M. ↓, Hyde L. ↑,
65', Grant M. ↓, Cairns O. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, McNulty M. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Whyte B. 🟨,
71', Dishington J. ↓, Dinanga R. ↑,
71', Walls B. ↓, Mudie M. ↑,
74', Mackay L. ↓, Cummings A. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Dinanga R. ⚽,
80', MacIver J. 🟨,
83', Colloty O. ↓, Booth L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Spartans has had a series of away games.

Spartans might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartans won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71% Spartans: 7.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14
4	Spartans	9	3	3	3	19:17	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Spartans - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.52%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Elgin City - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
15.08.26	Stranraer - Spartans	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	East Fife - Spartans	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Spartans - Edinburgh City	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Annan Athletic - Spartans	2:4 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Montrose - Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LTTWW
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
15.08.26	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Elgin City - Ross County	1:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Edinburgh City - Elgin City	0:5 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Hamilton Academical - Elgin City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
25.04.26	Spartans - Elgin City	1:1
31.01.26	Elgin City - Spartans	3:3
20.12.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:0
27.09.25	Elgin City - Spartans	2:3
22.03.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:2
11.03.25	Elgin City - Spartans	0:2
19.10.24	Spartans - Elgin City	1:3

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