Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Clermont		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.65
	2.58	3.2	2.62
	2.74	3.3	2.63
	2.71	3.14	2.61	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.63
	2.63	3.28	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	2.6 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
35.3%

Draw
29%

Bastia
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

29.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Clermont - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 93. Coulibaly I. 28. M'Bahia I. 4. Sow S. 38. Kone E. H. 10. Saivet H. 7. Camblan A. 44. Ackra A. 2. Baallal A. 29. Fakili I. 18. Diedhiou F. (C)	1. Olmeta L. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 28. Akueson G. 3. Guevara J. 5. Ariss Z. 17. Eickmayer J. 13. Ducrocq T. 18. Zaouai A. 10. Boutrah A. 9. Tomi F.
Substitutes
77. Cantero E. 17. Diop O. 11. Douane M. 25. Gastien J. 23. Hunou A. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 21. Salmier Y.	33. Beliandjou R. 16. Contena S. (G) 6. Guidi D. 66. Janneh J. 29. Merghem M. 14. Sebas J. 12. Zilliox N.
Coaches
Proment G.	Ray R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Sow S. ⚽, Fakili I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Ackra A. 🟥,
52', Baallal A. 🟨,
58', Akueson G. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
59', Boutrah A. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
65', Guevara J. 🟨,
69', Ducrocq T. ↓, Merghem M. ↑,
75', Merghem M. 🟥,
83', Fakili I. ↓, Douane M. ↑,
83', Camblan A. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
85', Ariss Z. ↓, Zilliox N. ↑,
85', Roncaglia A. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Zaouai A. ⚽, Janneh J. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Clermont has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bastia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Clermont: Donavin M. (Inactive) Nsimba V. (Inactive) Tourraine M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Bohnert F. (Yellow Cards) Djedje D. (Injury) Parravicini N. (Hernia) Placide J. (Inactive) Vincent C. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Clermont - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.43%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Bastia - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.77%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
17.04.26	Le Mans - Clermont	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Clermont - Nancy	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Grenoble - Clermont	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Clermont - Le Puy	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
20.03.26	Clermont - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTTL
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
18.04.26	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Red Star - Bastia	4:3 ✺
03.04.26	Bastia - Amiens	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Rodez - Bastia	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Bastia - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Bastia - Clermont	1:0
14.02.25	Clermont - Bastia	1:1
18.10.24	Bastia - Clermont	0:0
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Bastia - Clermont	2:0
French Ligue 2
28.01.12	Clermont - Bastia	N/A

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