The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Star 48%
Draw 29.7%
Bastia 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28.3%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
27.7%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Red Star - Bastia Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Red Star (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Red Star will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 27. Danger B. 24. Lemonnier P. 81. Haag G. 22. Sylla D. 4. Pierret B. 98. Hachem R. (C) 7. Durand D. 91. Cabral K. 23. Ikanga J.
1. Olmeta L. (G) 6. Guidi D. (C) 28. Akueson G. 3. Guevara J. 12. Zilliox N. 13. Ducrocq T. 17. Eickmayer J. 15. Bohnert F. 18. Zaouai A. 9. Tomi F. 10. Boutrah A.
Substitutes
9. Ba P. M. 29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 21. Hachem A. 3. Huard M. 10. Khaoui S. E. 2. Magnin T.
35. Beliandjou R. 16. Contena S. (G) 66. Janneh J. 8. Karamoko I. 36. Lebas da Silva V. 33. Petrignani M. 14. Sebas J.
Coaches
Poirier G.
Ray R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Guevara J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Durand D. ⚽, Lemonnier P. (A),
20', Haag G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Tomi F. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Lemonnier P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Haag G. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
48', 2 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Cabral K. (A),
58', 3 - 3, Durand D. ⚽, Ikanga J. (A),
65', Boutrah A. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
65', Zaouai A. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
66', Bohnert F. 🟨,
75', Cabral K. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
75', Sylla D. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
75', Ikanga J. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
77', Bohnert F. ↓, Lebas da Silva V. ↑,
77', Tomi F. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
84', Hachem R. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
84', Guidi D. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
86', 4 - 3, Benali H. ⚽, Ba P. M. (A),
89', Benali H. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
Red Star has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bastia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Red Star: Cabral K.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
Kany V.
(Coach's decision)
Trani G.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z.
(Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Merghem M.
(Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
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Poussin G. (G) 
Sylla D. 
Akueson G. 
Guevara J. 
Bohnert F. 
Zaouai A. 
Ba P. M. 
Khaoui S. E. 
Magnin T. 
Lebas da Silva V. 
Sebas J. 
