Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Clermont		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.75	Watch
	2.68	3.05	2.68
	2.69	3.13	2.88
	1.56	3.47	7.11	Watch
	2.82	3.13	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.41)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	3.61 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
40.5%

Draw
31.8%

Le Mans
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

29.3%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Mans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	26.7%	53.3%

Clermont - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Le Mans will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 97. Boto K. 5. Caufriez M. 2. Baallal A. 15. Konate C. O. 10. Saivet H. (C) 28. M'Bahia I. 7. Camblan A. 32. Bamba K. 29. Fakili I. 94. Socka Bongue L.	98. Kocik N. (G) 18. Buades L. 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. (C) 4. Cisse A. 24. Robin M. 27. Rossignol M. 8. Lauray A. 19. Guillaume B. 20. Harhouz W. 11. Abanda L.
Substitutes
44. Ackra A. 8. Bellache Y. 93. Coulibaly I. 17. Diop O. 25. Gastien J. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 9. Said A.	31. Boisse N. 22. Calodat L. 28. Colas E. 25. Gueye D. 6. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 10. Vercruysse J.
Coaches
Proment G.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Socka Bongue L. ⚽, Camblan A. (A),
28', Guivarch T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Guillaume B. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
57', Abanda L. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
57', Harhouz W. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
61', Fakili I. ↓, Gastien J. ↑,
65', Rossignol M. 🟨,
66', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Said A. ↑,
66', Bamba K. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
67', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
67', Robin M. ↓, Vercruysse J. ↑,
71', Buades L. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Vercruysse J. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
83', Konate C. O. ↓, Coulibaly I. ↑,
84', Baallal A. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
90+1', Gastien J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Boto K. (Inactive) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Salmier Y. (Red Card)

There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A. (Inactive) Guillaume B. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Oggad B. (Inactive) Ribelin A. (Inactive) Voyer H. (Red Card)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Reims - Clermont	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rodez - Clermont	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Clermont - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Laval - Clermont	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Clermont - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLTW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Le Mans - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Dunkerque - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Le Mans - Rodez	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Reims - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Le Mans - Bastia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.11.19	Clermont - Le Mans	0:1
08.02.13	Clermont - Le Mans	1:1
31.08.12	Le Mans - Clermont	3:1
09.03.12	Clermont - Le Mans	N/A

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