Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Le Mans		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.08	3.35	3.25
	2.19	3.54	3.38
	2.27	3.32	3.06	Watch
	2.13	3.54	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.21)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	3.24 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Mans
43.8%

Draw
27.3%

Rodez
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	22.2%	27.8%

Le Mans - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Rodez (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. (C) 5. Voyer H. 8. Lauray A. 18. Buades L. 22. Calodat L. 10. Vercruysse J. 27. Rossignol M. 25. Gueye D. 20. Harhouz W.	1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 27. Trouillet A. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 11. Arconte T. 9. Nagera K.
Substitutes
11. Colas E. 3. Cossier I. 7. Gomes M. 19. Guillaume B. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 26. Oggad B. 6. Quarshie E.	10. Baaloudj M. 18. Balde I. 26. Benchamma S. 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 16. Margueron L. (G) 20. Ponti R. 28. Saka M.
Coaches
Videira P.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Harhouz W. 🟨,
31', Trouillet A. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
37', Gueye D. 🟨,
40', Saka M. 🟨,
45+2', Mendes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Arconte T. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
60', 🟨,
62', Lauray A. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
62', Harhouz W. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
62', Gueye D. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
69', Voyer H. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
69', Buades L. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
71', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
71', Nagera K. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
79', Joly O. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
80', Arconte T. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Rodez has had a series of home games.

Le Mans could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Luvambo T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rodez: Ponti R. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Inactive) Vangi D. (Inactive) Younoussa W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rodez: Jean-Lambert E. (Injury) Joly O. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
30.08.25	Reims - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Le Mans - Bastia	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Le Mans - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Guingamp - Le Mans	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Le Mans - Caen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLTW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
29.08.25	Rodez - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Rodez - Laval	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodez - Nancy	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Rodez - Pau	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.02.20	Le Mans - Rodez	0:0
13.09.19	Rodez - Le Mans	4:1
French Ligue 3
02.03.19	Le Mans - Rodez	0:1
21.09.18	Rodez - Le Mans	1:0

Upcoming Matches