Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Dunkerque		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.2	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.4
	1.85	3.35	4.05
	1.89	3.66	4.37
	1.94	3.52	3.96	Watch
	2.1	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.17)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.89 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
48.4%

Draw
27.3%

Le Mans
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Dunkerque - Le Mans Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dunkerque will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dunkerque will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 30. Abner F. 16. Eguaras I. 10. Essimi M. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.	98. Kocik N. (G) 12. Ribelin A. 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 3. Cossier I. 22. Calodat L. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 10. Vercruysse J. 7. Gomes M. 25. Gueye D. 9. Rabillard A.
Substitutes
11. Daho A. 6. Diong P. 19. Kante A. 21. Kondo G. 60. Niflore M. (G) 7. Sylvestre E. 80. Yassine G.	18. Buades L. 28. Colas E. 19. Guillaume B. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 24. Robin M. 5. Voyer H.
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Videira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
22', Gomes M. 🟨,
29', Gomes M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Calodat L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),
62', Vercruysse J. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
63', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
64', Essimi M. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
69', Sangante O. 🟥,
70', Eguaras I. 🟨,
71', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
72', Sekongo A. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
73', Zossou A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
76', Rabillard A. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Colas E. ⚽, Voyer H. (A),
83', Ribelin A. 🟨,
86', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
87', Eguaras I. ↓, Daho A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

In recent matches, Dunkerque has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Le Mans's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dunkerque will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Rabillard A. (Inactive) Ribelin A. (Inactive) Robin M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Le Mans: Voyer H. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
13.09.25	Grenoble - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Nancy	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTT
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Le Mans - Rodez	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Reims - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Le Mans - Bastia	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Le Mans - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Guingamp - Le Mans	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
26.05.23	Le Mans - Dunkerque	2:3
12.08.22	Dunkerque - Le Mans	3:0
18.01.19	Le Mans - Dunkerque	1:1
17.08.18	Dunkerque - Le Mans	1:2

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