Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Le Mans		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.85
	1.98	3.56	4.1
	4.55	2.53	2.20	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.99	Watch
	1.87	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.85)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	3.69 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
42.4%

Draw
30.7%

Grenoble
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Mans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Le Mans - Grenoble Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 18. Buades L. 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 5. Voyer H. 22. Calodat L. 10. Vercruysse J. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 24. Robin M. 25. Gueye D. 9. Rabillard A.	13. Diop M. (G) 17. Delos S. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 4. Mambo S. 26. Mion M. 7. Diaby Y. 24. Mouyokolo L. 18. Mbock H. 9. Kerouedan A. 37. Bechikh M.
Substitutes
11. Abanda L. 28. Colas E. 3. Cossier I. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 8. Lauray A. 27. Rossignol M.	16. Allain B. (G) 2. Djitte M. 20. Maurin E. 33. Sarikaya E. 25. Valls T. 27. Xantippe M. 19. Zahui N.
Coaches
Videira P.	Rizzetto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Voyer H. 🟨,
17', Voyer H. 🟨,
24', Robin M. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Quarshie E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Mion M. ↓, Xantippe M. ↑,
62', Quarshie E. 🟨,
63', Bechikh M. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
63', Kerouedan A. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
63', Paquiez G. ↓, Valls T. ↑,
65', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
66', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
77', Xantippe M. 🟨,
82', Calodat L. ↓, Abanda L. ↑,
82', Vercruysse J. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
85', Maurin E. 🟨,
86', Vidal C. ↓, Zahui N. ↑,
90+4', Rossignol M. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

Le Mans is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grenoble has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Le Mans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L. (Inactive) Gomes M. (Red Card) Harhouz W. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Inactive) Oggad B. (Inactive) Rossignol M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Grenoble: Bangre M. (Inactive) Benet J. (Injury) Diba S. (Inactive) Djitte M. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 2
19.09.25	Dunkerque - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Le Mans - Rodez	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Reims - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Le Mans - Bastia	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Le Mans - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWL
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
19.09.25	Grenoble - Annecy	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Grenoble - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Clermont - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Grenoble - Laval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.11.19	Le Mans - Grenoble	0:0

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