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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 35.5%
Draw 30.9%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
32.6%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
35.1%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barrionuevo L. (G) 4. Basualdo N. (C) 2. Molina M. 6. Falabella L. 3. Gancedo M. 8. Silva G. 5. Rodriguez L. 11. Vasquez D. 7. Orlando J. 9. Dornell T. 10. Vedoya F.
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Cortez I. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Padilla M. (C) 3. Recalde M. 8. Rodriguez J. 5. Antonio I. 10. Ciccolini L. 11. Barboza N. 7. Solis N. 9. Silba L.
Substitutes
19. Brizuela D. 12. Champagne N. (G) 20. Conechny R. 14. Giacone J. C. 18. Gianfranco J. 13. Giordano A. 17. Puca D. 15. Punet L. 16. Troncoso L.
16. Antonini F. 20. Castro M. 12. Montagnino D. (G) 14. Nadalin F. 13. Paniagua H. 17. Rinaldi N. 19. Romano N. 18. Salega G. 15. Ubeda M.
Coaches
Sparapani L.
Alaniz D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Vasquez D. ⚽,
36', Basualdo N. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Orlando J. ⚽,
41', Orlando J. 🟨,
42', Ciccolini L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Barboza N. ↓, Rinaldi N. ↑,
56', Ciccolini L. ↓, Romano N. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Silba L. ⚽,
72', Orlando J. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
72', Vedoya F. ↓, Punet L. ↑,
72', Vasquez D. ↓, Gianfranco J. ↑,
73', Dornell T. ↓, Giacone J. C. ↑,
79', Falabella L. 🟨,
81', Antonio I. ↓, Antonini F. ↑,
81', Solis N. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Gutierrez A. ⚽,
89', Rodriguez J. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
90+4', Silva G. 🟥,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almagro won 0.
Almagro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Gimnasia Mendoza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Almagro won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Almagro won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Watch
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