Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)


	Club Almagro		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	3.60	2.75	2.30	Watch
	3.30	2.85	2.25
	3.40	2.78	2.28	Watch
	3.64	2.92	2.50
	3.72	2.59	2.4	Watch
	3.50	2.62	2.30
	3.57	2.78	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
26.4%

Draw
33.8%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

32.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

31.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Club Almagro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Club Almagro - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 6. Busto L. 3. Silcan E. 8. Bustos J. 11. Macies T. 5. Marchioni J. 10. Bustamante F. 7. Orlando J. 9. Benegas M.	1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Sosa R. 7. Alvarez F. 5. Previtali N. 10. Bernardi C. 8. Castro Ponce T. 11. Puch J. 9. Quintana A.
Substitutes
15. Blanco P. 13. Chamorro S. 20. Chavez A. 16. Fernandes J. 19. Lopez T. 17. Martinez E. 18. Palacio P. 14. Vitale J. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)	18. Aquino J. 13. Galeano L. 17. Ibarra M. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 16. Mendoza G. 19. Miranda G. 14. Ostachuk P. 15. Rivero B. 20. Rodriguez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Bustos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Benegas M. ⚽,
53', Rojas T. ↓, Galeano L. ↑,
58', Alvarez F. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
58', Bernardi C. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
59', Ibarra M. 🟨,
65', Bustos J. ↓, Chamorro S. ↑,
72', Quintana A. ↓, Miranda G. ↑,
75', Cortave M. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
77', Macies T. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
88', Benegas M. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽,

Preview

Federation decision.

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0.

In recent matches, Almagro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlanta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Club Almagro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Club Almagro - Güemes	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Club Almagro - San Martín de San Juan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWLL
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia Jujuy	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.25	Club Almagro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
14.04.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:0
07.09.24	Club Almagro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0
06.05.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
18.11.15	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:2
13.11.15	Club Almagro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0

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