Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Güemes		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.57	3.2	Watch
	2.45	2.65	3.2
	2.45	2.62	3.3	Watch
	2.54	2.65	3.65
	2.21	2.92	3.53	Watch
	2.5	2.63	3.2
	2.45	2.45	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.77)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)	3.37 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
38%

Draw
34.8%

Quilmes
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

34.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

35.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Güemes - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Güemes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 13. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 6. Melillan F. 3. Benitez M. 16. Gerez M. 5. Baier G. 10. Veliz D. 11. Godoy F. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J.	1. Canadell J. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 13. Recalde L. 6. Rasso I. 15. Ortega A. 8. Martinez R. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Dominguez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Melillan F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
55', Gerez M. 🟨,
58', Sanchez J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
61', Bolivar A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
61', Vallejos M. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,
65', Benitez M. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Rasso I. ⚽, Batista A. (A),
78', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. ↓, Oneto T. ↑,
78', Batista A. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
78', Lavezzi A. ↓, Spetale A. ↑,
80', Yangali J. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Amilivia T. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Postigo J. 🟨,
86', Sala S. G. ↓, Rizzi F. ↑,
86', Gerez M. ↓, Pugliese G. ↑,
86', Martinez R. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Güemes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Quilmes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Güemes might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Güemes	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLTLW
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.26	Quilmes - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Temperley - Quilmes	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.25	Quilmes - Güemes	0:0
18.05.25	Güemes - Quilmes	0:0
28.09.24	Quilmes - Güemes	1:0
12.05.24	Güemes - Quilmes	1:0
09.07.22	Quilmes - Güemes	0:2

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