The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 56.6%
Draw 23.8%
Puebla 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
18.8%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
18.2%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club América's form might have worsened.
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puebla's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puebla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Club América - Puebla Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Tapia F. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 2. Lara E. 32. Vazquez M. 29. Juarez R. (C) 27. Icaro 6. Cerrillo E. 186. Arriaga D. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 22. Perea O. 189. Cardenas A.
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 24. Organista A. 16. Ramirez A. 27. Garnica B. 22. Baltazar C. 26. Velasco K. 29. Mustre E.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez K. 26. Borja C. 4. Caceres S. 30. Cota R. (G) 9. Martin H. 23. Raphael Veiga 3. Reyes I. 7. Rodriguez B. 28. Sanchez E. 12. Violante I.
9. Hernandez L. 3. Herrera A. 2. Leyva A. 34. Lucas Camilo 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 21. Sanabria S. 10. Tomas M. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Almada G.
Espinoza G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Icaro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramirez A. ↓, Sanabria S. ↑,
62', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
62', Arriaga D. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
62', Perea O. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
67', Cerrillo E. ↓, Reyes I. ↑,
67', Icaro ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
69', Mustre E. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
69', Sanabria S. 🟨,
70', Organista A. ↓, Tomas M. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Rodriguez B. ⚽, Juarez R. (A),
83', Garnica B. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
87', Moreno I. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 4.
América is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Puebla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, América has had a series of home games.
In this match, América is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Malagon L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Zendejas A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Puebla: Maestro I.
(Thigh Injury)
Navarro E.
(Injury)
We predict that América will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:16. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, América won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.1:0.7).
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Tapia F. (G) 
Icaro 
Cerrillo E. 
Perea O. 
Almada F. 
Vargas J. (C) 
Caceres S. 
Hernandez L. 
Sanabria S. 
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