The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 54.3%
Draw 25.8%
Juárez 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
22.7%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
21.7%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club América's form might have worsened.
Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Club América - Juárez Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.75 - América (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) 18. Mejia A. 29. Juarez R. 4. Caceres S. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 6. dos Santos J. (C) 28. Sanchez E. 23. Raphael Veiga 19. Zuniga J. 11. Davila V.
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 2. Murillo J. 3. Mosquera M. 4. Mayorga A. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 20. Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 5. Garcia D. 6. Monchu 11. Puma 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez K. 26. Borja C. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 3. Reyes I. 7. Rodriguez B. 33. Salas P. 32. Vazquez M. 10. Zendejas A.
22. Aquino J. 29. Ayon E. 24. Diaz B. (G) 17. Dupuy L. 13. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 14. Ochoa D. 10. Pizarro R.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Caixinha P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ⚽, Puma (A),
19', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. 🟨,
26', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
39', Davila V. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
45+2', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Juarez R. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
46', Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
46', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
53', Pizarro R. 🟨,
55', Espinosa Dovat T. N. 🟨,
67', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
67', Sanchez E. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
68', Estupinan O. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Zendejas A. ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
72', Salas P. 🟨,
76', Mejia A. 🟨,
76', Puma 🟨,
82', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
83', Zuniga J. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
83', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
86', Puma ↓, Manriquez J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Guilherme Castilho ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 3.
Recent performances by América have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Juárez is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
América may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, América is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Lima
(Red Card)
There will not play in Juárez: Romero B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in América: Zendejas A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Juárez: Madson
(Injury)
Ochoa D.
(Injury)
Ricardinho
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, América won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, América won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
Mexico
South-america
Usa
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Malagon L. (G) 
Caceres S. 
Rodrigo Dourado 
Zuniga J. 
Davila V. 
Monchu 
Puma 
Zendejas A. 
Caixinha P. 
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