Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lastras (San Luis Potosí)

Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atlético San Luis		Juárez

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.12	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)	3.3 ↓ (3.55)	3.23 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético San Luis
42.6%

Draw
28.4%

Juárez
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Atlético San Luis - Juárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez A. (G) 3. Robson Bambu 6. Juanpe 13. Rodrigo Dourado 2. Torres R. 7. Galdames B. 14. Garcia M. 19. Salles-Lamonge S. 8. Sanabria J. (C) 26. Perez S. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao	1. Jurado S. (C) 5. Garcia D. 2. Murillo J. 3. Mosquera M. 4. Mayorga A. 9. Madson 8. Guilherme Castilho 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 11. Puma 17. Pizarro R. 19. Estupinan O.
Substitutes
31. Aguila E. 25. Barajas F. 18. Cruz A. 4. Dominguez J. 15. Guillen D. 34. Lajud G. (G) 21. Macias O. 16. Marchand J. 29. Suarez J. 62. Tepa	24. Diaz B. (G) 13. Fulgencio R. 25. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 237. Lopez E. 26. Manriquez J. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 21. Ricardinho 183. Silva L. 10. Villalpando D. 29. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Abascal G.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 0, Perez S. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
67', Madson ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
70', Perez S. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
79', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Dourado (Own goal),
85', Rodrigo Dourado 🟥,
90+1', Garcia M. 🟨,
90+1', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
90+2', Garcia M. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, Estupinan O. ⚽, Mayorga A. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético San Luis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Dourado (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Macias O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Mosquera M. (Injury) Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
26.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Necaxa	3:4 ✺
22.10.25	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pachuca - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLL
- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
24.10.25	Juárez - Puebla	4:4 ✺
21.10.25	Monterrey - Juárez	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Atlas - Juárez	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Juárez - Club León	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.03.25	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	1:0
27.10.24	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	2:4
08.04.24	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	2:3
25.10.23	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	3:2
13.04.23	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	2:0
03.08.22	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	1:1
20.01.22	Atlético San Luis - Juárez	0:1

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