The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 35.3%
Draw 27.8%
Los Angeles 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
26.5%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
26.5%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Minnesota United - Los Angeles Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 23. Duggan M. 2. Padelford D. 21. Hlongwane B. 25. Triantis N. 20. Trapp W. (C) 13. Markanich A. 10. Rodriguez J. 9. Yeboah K. 29. Dieng M.
1. Lloris H. (G) 33. Long A. (C) 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 24. Hollingshead R. 46. Eustaquio S. 11. Tillman T. 29. Smolyakov A. 30. Martinez D. 27. Ordaz N. 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
8. Chancalay T. 33. Chandler K. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 18. Gonzalez M. 26. Pereyra J. 5. Romero N. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D.
19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 66. Choiniere M. 17. Ebobisse J. 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 21. Raposo R. 18. Shaffelburg J. 22. Terry J.
Coaches
Knowles C.
Dos Santos M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽, Tillman T. (A), Eustaquio S. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Long A. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
52', Tillman T. 🟨,
53', Yeboah K. 🟨,
59', Eustaquio S. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
60', Martinez D. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
62', Dieng M. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
63', Rodriguez J. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
63', Hlongwane B. ↓, Duncan K. ↑,
78', Triantis N. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
78', Trapp W. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
84', Ordaz N. ↓, Terry J. ↑,
86', Hollingshead R. 🟨,
90+2', Smolyakov A. ↓, Palencia S. ↑,
90+5', Palencia S. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 1.
Minnesota has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Los Angeles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Minnesota: Boxall M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Gressel J.
(Toe Injury)
Harvey C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stroud P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Los Angeles: Boudri A.
(Leg Injury)
Dellavalle L.
(Knee Injury)
Igor Jesus
(Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Outrights of MLS for now
Los Angeles FC: 6.88% Minnesota United: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Los Angeles - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Callender D. (G) 
Diaz J. 
Duggan M. 
Hlongwane B. 
Triantis N. 
Yeboah K. 
Dieng M. 
Lloris H. (G) 
Eustaquio S. 
Smolyakov A. 
Martinez D. 
Ordaz N. 
Bouanga D. 
Chancalay T. 
Duncan K. 
Palencia S. 
Porteous R. 
Knowles C. 
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