Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	18:45	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	14:45	Max, TNT
Bulgaria	19:45	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	ESPN Premium
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:45	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	21:15	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	17:45	Shabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	02:45	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport, Q Sport
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	11:45	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
Usa	12:45	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	22:45	Zor TV
Venezuela	13:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+


	Club Brugge		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.25
	3.35	3.35	2.3	Watch
	3.42	3.36	2.31
	3.58	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.54	3.28	2.26	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.67)	2.27 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
28.5%

Draw
29%

Atalanta
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.3%	15%	78.7%

Club Brugge - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (100 of 126 users predict this - 79.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.3% – 86.44%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 65. Seys J. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 55. De Cuyper M. 30. Jashari A. 15. Onyedika R. 68. Talbi C. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 8. Tzolis C. 9. Jutgla F.	28. Patricio R. (G) 5. Posch S. 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 8. Pasalic M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 19. Nilsson G. 2. Romero Z. 64. Sabbe K. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.	44. Brescianini M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 25. Cassa F. 7. Cuadrado J. 49. Del Lungo T. 27. Palestra M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 24. Samardzic L. 6. Sulemana I. 2. Toloi R. 48. Vlahovic V.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Jutgla F. ⚽, Talbi C. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Pasalic M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
63', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
70', Tzolis C. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
71', Posch S. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
71', Retegui M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
86', Zappacosta D. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
86', Jutgla F. ↓, Vetlesen H. ↑,
86', Talbi C. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
90+1', Patricio R. 🟨,
90+2', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
90+2', Hien I. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Nilsson G. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atalanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Atalanta: Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Lookman A. (Knee Injury) Maldini D. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Carnesecchi M. (Thigh Injury) Kolasinac S. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.25	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
05.02.25	Genk - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.02.25	Royal Antwerp - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Manchester City - Club Brugge	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.25	Club Brugge - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLLT
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Verona - Atalanta	0:5 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.25	Atalanta - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.25	Atalanta - Torino	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Barcelona - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.25	Como - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTTW

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