Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max, TNT
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+


	Club Brugge		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.25
	3.35	3.35	2.3	Watch
	3.42	3.36	2.31
	3.58	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.54	3.28	2.26	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.67)	2.27 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
28.5%

Draw
29%

Atalanta
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.3%	15%	78.7%

Club Brugge - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (100 of 126 users predict this - 79.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.3% – 86.44%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 65. Seys J. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 55. De Cuyper M. 30. Jashari A. 15. Onyedika R. 68. Talbi C. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 8. Tzolis C. 9. Jutgla F.	28. Patricio R. (G) 5. Posch S. 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 8. Pasalic M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 19. Nilsson G. 2. Romero Z. 64. Sabbe K. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.	44. Brescianini M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 25. Cassa F. 7. Cuadrado J. 49. Del Lungo T. 27. Palestra M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 24. Samardzic L. 6. Sulemana I. 2. Toloi R. 48. Vlahovic V.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Jutgla F. ⚽, Talbi C. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Pasalic M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
63', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
70', Tzolis C. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
71', Posch S. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
71', Retegui M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
86', Zappacosta D. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
86', Jutgla F. ↓, Vetlesen H. ↑,
86', Talbi C. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
90+1', Patricio R. 🟨,
90+2', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
90+2', Hien I. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Nilsson G. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atalanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Atalanta: Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Lookman A. (Knee Injury) Maldini D. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Carnesecchi M. (Thigh Injury) Kolasinac S. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.25	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
05.02.25	Genk - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.02.25	Royal Antwerp - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Manchester City - Club Brugge	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.25	Club Brugge - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLLT
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Verona - Atalanta	0:5 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.25	Atalanta - Bologna	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.25	Atalanta - Torino	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Barcelona - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.25	Como - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTTW

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