Match Info

Serie A - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Como		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.41	3.35	3.24
	2.26	3.26	3.35	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.31	3.35	3.52
	2.36	3.14	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.45)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	3.3 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
41.6%

Draw
29.5%

Atalanta
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Como - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 26 - 68.4%). Atalanta will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 53.6% – 83.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Atalanta (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Atalanta (1.89) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DNB - Atalanta (2.39) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Como (1.36) (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Atalanta (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 3. Valle A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 31. Vojvoda M. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 11. Douvikas A.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 69. Ahanor H. 77. Zappacosta D. 13. Ederson 15. De Roon M. (C) 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 9. Scamacca G.
Substitutes
42. Addai J. 6. Caqueret M. 56. De Paoli C. 34. Diego Carlos 19. Kuhn N. 7. Morata A. 18. Moreno A. 8. Roberto S. 17. Rodriguez J. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	16. Bellanova R. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 3. Kossounou O. 90. Krstovic N. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ahanor H. 🟥,
9', Perrone M. 🟨,
18', Scamacca G. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
36', Butez J. 🟨,
44', De Roon M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zalewski N. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
46', Vojvoda M. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
58', Perrone M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
59', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
60', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
69', Addai J. 🟨,
80', Addai J. ↓, Kuhn N. ↑,
80', Da Cunha L. 🟨,
86', Bellanova R. 🟨,
86', Bellanova R. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
87', Da Cunha L. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
90+7', Krstovic N. 🟨,
90+8', Paz N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).

Como is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Atalanta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Como may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Como might have a minor edge in this game.

There are questionable in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Douvikas A. (Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Como won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.45% Atalanta: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Coppa Italia
27.01.26	Fiorentina - Como	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
24.01.26	Como - Torino	6:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lazio - Como	0:3 ✺
15.01.26	Como - Milan	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLT
- Atalanta
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.01.26	Atalanta - Parma	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.01.26	Pisa - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atalanta - Torino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Atalanta - Como	1:1
25.01.25	Como - Atalanta	1:2
24.09.24	Atalanta - Como	2:3
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Atalanta - Como	4:0

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