Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	00:30	Meraj Sport, Solh TV
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	17:00	Flow Eventos
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, Play Sports 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6, New World TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, RTK 1
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Voyo
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	21:00	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	01:00	Futbol TV
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 10
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Barcelona		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.33	4.1
	1.73	4.33	4
	1.78	4.4	4.15	Watch
	1.72	4.5	4.43
	1.68	4.54	4.56	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4
	1.75	4.5	4.4
	1.78	4.4	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	4.4 ↑ (4.29)	4.22 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
55.4%

Draw
21.8%

Atalanta
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

22.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	9%	16.9%

Barcelona - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 64 - 74.4%). Atalanta will win (votes: 15 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 65.2% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szczesny W. (G) 23. Kounde J. 4. Araujo R. (C) 24. Garcia E. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. 8. Pedri 19. Yamal L. 6. Gavi 11. Raphinha 9. Lewandowski R.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 8. Pasalic M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
17. Casado M. 2. Cubarsi P. 10. Fati A. 32. Fort H. 31. Kochen D. (G) 16. Lopez F. 35. Martin G. 13. Pena I. (G) 14. Torre P. 7. Torres F. 18. Victor P.	44. Brescianini M. 25. Cassa F. 7. Cuadrado J. 27. Palestra M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 24. Samardzic L. 42. Scalvini G. 2. Toloi R. 48. Vlahovic V. 10. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Flick H.	Gasperini G.

Preview

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Barcelona in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Calf Injury) Martinez I. (Hamstring Injury) Olmo D. (Calf Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Lookman A. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Barcelona to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.25	Barcelona - Valencia	7:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Benfica - Barcelona	4:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.25	Getafe - Barcelona	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Barcelona - Betis	5:1 ✺
Spanish Supercopa
12.01.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
25.01.25	Como - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Atalanta - Sturm Graz	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.25	Atalanta - Napoli	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Udinese - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Barcelona - Aston Villa	✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.10.26	Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés	✺
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
02.11.26	Atalanta - Parma	✺
29.10.26	Fiorentina - Atalanta	✺

Barcelona - Atalanta