Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Italy	DAZN Italia


	Club Brugge		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	8	Watch
	1.33	5.35	8.1	Watch
	1.39	5.15	7.47
	1.33	5.48	8.32	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.38	5.33	8.55	Watch
	1.35	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)	5.15 ↑ (5.12)	7.99 ↓ (8.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
69.9%

Draw
18.3%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18.3%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

17.5%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	5%	20%

Club Brugge - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Leuven will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Leuven (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Brugge (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 60%). Leuven (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 41. Siquet H. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 14. Meijer B. 80. Lemarechal F. 15. Onyedika R. 9. Forbs C. 20. Vanaken H. 8. Tzolis C. 7. Tresoldi N.	16. Prevot M. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. 34. Nyakossi R. 30. Akimoto T. 27. Gil O. 8. Schrijvers S. 24. Lakomy L. 14. Teklab H. 33. Maertens M. (C) 7. Verlinden T. 19. Ikwuemesi C.
Substitutes
84. Campbell S. 71. De Corte A. (G) 67. Diakhon M. 29. Jackers N. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 65. Seys J. 58. Spileers J. 25. Stankovic A. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.	21. Balikwisha W. 3. Dussenne N. 6. George W. 61. Jochmans O. (G) 39. Kaba S. 10. Maziz Y. 43. McAlinney L. 5. Ominami T. 95. Radelet T. (G) 17. Vaesen K. 4. Verstraete B.
Coaches
Leko I.	Mazzu F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Leko I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Meijer B. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Ikwuemesi C. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
56', Lemarechal F. ↓, Stankovic A. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Stankovic A. (A),
63', Maertens M. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
71', Schrijvers S. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Lakomy L. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
74', Verlinden T. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
75', Tresoldi N. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
75', Tzolis C. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
75', Meijer B. ↓, Seys J. ↑,
79', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
79', Teklab H. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
86', Siquet H. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
88', Gil O. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Brugge is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 5.

Brugge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leuven has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brugge is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Inactive) van den Heuvel D. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B. (Knock)

There are questionable in Leuven: Dussenne N. (Injury) Leysen T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:15. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brugge won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Club Brugge KV	8	7	0	1	19:4	15	21
14	Leuven	7	1	1	5	5:13	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
UEFA Champions League
18.02.26	Club Brugge - Atlético Madrid	3:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.02.26	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Club Brugge - Standard Liège	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWLW
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	1:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.10.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:1
08.02.25	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0
Belgian Cup
07.01.25	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.11.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:1
10.03.24	Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1
26.11.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:1

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