Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	ZAP
Argentina	15:45	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	—	TOD
Austria	19:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	beIN Sports
Chile	15:45	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	19:45	Voyo
Cyprus	20:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	19:45	Bold+
Ecuador	13:45	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
France	19:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	19:45	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	20:45	Sport 1
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Mexico	12:45	Claro Sports
Netherlands	19:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
Peru	13:45	DirecTV Sports
Poland	19:45	Eleven Sports 1
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	19:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	19:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	19:45	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Uruguay	15:45	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	14:45	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Santa Clara		Benfica

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.33	Watch
	8.00	5.25	1.34
	7.8	4.8	1.34	Watch
	8.59	5.54	1.36
	7.8	5.2	1.38	Watch
	8.3	5.45	1.34
	8.21	4.87	1.4	Watch
	7.8	5.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.06 ↑ (7.67)	5.13 ↑ (4.32)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
11.7%

Draw
18.4%

Benfica
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12%

21.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

19.3%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	14.3%	81%

Santa Clara - Benfica Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +2 - draw (4.13) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Franca (G) 42. Lucas Soares 4. Pacheco P. (C) 21. Fernandes E. 5. Guilherme Romao 6. Ferreira P. 41. Daniel Borges 70. Vinicius Lopes 20. Ribeiro T. 10. Brenner 7. Fernando	24. Soares S. (G) 6. Bah A. 44. Araujo T. 2. Lenglet C. 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. (C) 36. Palhinha J. 27. Rafa Silva 10. Sudakov G. 25. Prestianni G. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
18. Duarte A. 80. Duarte T. 81. Fofana S. 73. Leo Jaco 25. Medeiros F. 12. Neneca (G) 3. Silva H. 99. Sorriso 17. Vasconcelos 22. Vitinho 11. Welinton Torrao 19. Ythallo	72. Anisio 3. Circati A. 22. Duran J. 30. Echeverri C. 34. El Karouani S. 88. Freitas T. 33. Gabriel Indio 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu Silva 62. Neto J. 21. Schjelderup A. 1. Trubin A. (G)
Coaches
Petit	Silva M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Bah A. 🟨,
10', Silva M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Fernando (Penalty Awarded),
36', Fernandes E. 🟨,
40', Pacheco P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sudakov G. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
46', Rafa Silva ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
59', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
67', Brenner ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Prestianni G. ⚽,
74', Aursnes F. 🟨,
75', Daniel Borges ↓, Vasconcelos ↑,
82', Araujo T. ↓, Circati A. ↑,
82', Pavlidis V. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
85', Ferreira P. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
85', Lucas Soares ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
88', Dahl S. 🟨,
89', Duran J. 🟨,
90', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
90+2', Prestianni G. ↓, Manu Silva ↑,
90+3', Vasconcelos 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 0.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Benfica may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benfica enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Benfica: Banjaqui D. (Muscle Injury) Barreiro L. (Inactive) Barrenechea E. (Injury) Duran J. (Inactive) Ferreira D. (Inactive) Kaminski J. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Santa Clara: MT (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Benfica: Pavlidis V. (Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Clara has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:38 (averaging 0.8:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Clara against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 3:16 goals (averaging 0.4:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	26:8	18	22
4	Santa Clara	9	5	3	1	13:6	7	18

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Benfica: 25.37% Santa Clara: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 66.56%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Mafra - Santa Clara	3:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
10.10.26	Casa Pia - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Santa Clara - Braga	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWW
- SL Benfica
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Omonia - Benfica	1:4 ✺
15.10.26	Benfica - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Porto - Benfica	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
13.02.26	Santa Clara - Benfica	1:2
12.09.25	Benfica - Santa Clara	1:1
15.02.25	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
30.10.24	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:0
Liga Portugal
14.09.24	Benfica - Santa Clara	4:1
27.05.23	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:0
21.01.23	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:3

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