Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 22

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Bold+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
World	Onefootball


	Santa Clara		Benfica

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.8	1.45	Watch
	6.9	4.15	1.46	Watch
	8.02	4.21	1.48
	7.49	4.21	1.48	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.5
	6.86	4.16	1.55	Watch
	7.5	3.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.25 (7.25)	4.02 ↓ (4.19)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
13%

Draw
23.5%

Benfica
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

22.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

22%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	3.4%	96.6%

Santa Clara - Benfica Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Benfica (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (26 of 27 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 21. Venancio F. 23. Lima S. 64. Paulo Victor 35. Serginho 77. Gustavo Klismahn 8. Ferreira P. 70. Vinicius Lopes 39. Paciencia G. 10. Gabriel Silva	1. Trubin A. (G) 44. Araujo T. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 5. Barrenechea E. 18. Barreiro L. 25. Prestianni G. 27. Rafa Silva 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
11. Brenner 37. Darlan 2. Diogo Calila 26. Fernando 5. Guilherme Romao 12. Neneca (G) 94. Silva H. 65. Tavares J. 49. Welinton Torrao	58. Banjaqui D. 72. Cabral A. 50. Ferreira D. (G) 9. Ivanovic F. 15. Lopes Cabral S. 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu 64. Oliveira G. 10. Sudakov G.
Coaches
Pires L.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Paulo Victor (Own goal),
45', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paulo Victor ↓, Guilherme Romao ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Paciencia G. ⚽, Gustavo Klismahn (A),
59', Paciencia G. 🟨,
62', Paciencia G. ↓, Fernando ↑,
62', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
66', Lucas Soares 🟨,
68', Schjelderup A. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
73', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
78', Venancio F. 🟨,
79', Rafa Silva ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
84', Tavares J. 🟨,
86', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Brenner ↑,
90', Prestianni G. 🟨,
90', Prestianni G. ↓, Manu ↑,
90+1', Araujo T. 🟨,
90+2', Lucas Soares 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 0.

Santa Clara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Benfica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:36. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:14. (average 0.3:2.3).

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Benfica: 23.81% Santa Clara: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18
4	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
07.02.26	Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Moreirense - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Nacional - Santa Clara	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
08.02.26	Benfica - Alverca	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tondela - Benfica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Benfica - Real Madrid	4:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Juventus - Benfica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
12.09.25	Benfica - Santa Clara	1:1
15.02.25	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
30.10.24	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:0
Liga Portugal
14.09.24	Benfica - Santa Clara	4:1
27.05.23	Benfica - Santa Clara	3:0
21.01.23	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:3
12.02.22	Benfica - Santa Clara	2:1

Upcoming Matches