Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Club General Díaz		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.5	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.04
	3.63	3.5	2.12
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.42	3.48	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (4.55)	3.39 ↓ (3.61)	2.01 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club General Díaz
26.8%

Draw
27.3%

Guaraní Asuncion
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.9%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

20.8%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club General Díaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club General Díaz's performance.

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guaraní Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club General Díaz than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club General Díaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Club General Díaz - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

General Díaz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

General Díaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 29 head-to-head matches General Díaz won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 36-55.

Including matches at home between the teams General Díaz won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club General Díaz
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.20	San Lorenzo - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Club General Díaz - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
06.09.20	Club General Díaz - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
01.09.20	Guaireña - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
27.08.20	Club General Díaz - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.20	Figueirense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.20	Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Tigre	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
27.07.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	0:0
28.11.19	Club General Díaz - Guaraní Asuncion	0:3
01.09.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	5:0
26.04.19	Club General Díaz - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
23.02.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	1:1
23.11.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	0:2
09.09.18	Club General Díaz - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1

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