Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	2	Watch
	4	3.25	1.95
	4	3.2	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.15	1.9
	4.57	3.28	1.95
	4.2	3.3	1.95
	4.15	3.4	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.55)	3.24 ↑ (3.23)	1.94 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
22.5%

Draw
29.1%

Palmeiras
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.5%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.8%	40%	42.2%

Guaraní Asuncion - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 8 - 17.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 19 - 42.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 27.8% – 56.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Guaraní is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Palmeiras have a series of guest games.

In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.20	Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Tigre	4:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.20	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWT
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.20	Grêmio - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.20	Bolívar - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.09.20	Palmeiras - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
10.09.20	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
06.09.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.03.20	Palmeiras - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.20	Palmeiras - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
Club Friendly
03.07.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Palmeiras	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.04.13	Palmeiras - Guaraní Asuncion	4:1
Brazilian Serie A
08.04.12	Guaraní Asuncion - Palmeiras	N/A

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