Match Info

Date: 18 September 2020, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Confiança		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.85
	2.63	2.8	2.65
	2.7	2.7	2.8
	2.88	2.87	2.97
	2.7	2.8	2.8
	2.71	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.39)	2.82 ↓ (2.98)	2.8 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
34.3%

Draw
32.8%

Guaraní Asuncion
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 16 and 15).

Recent matches Confiança is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guaraní is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Confiança won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.20	Confiança - Avaí	2:2 ✺
08.09.20	Juventude - Confiança	3:1 ✺
05.09.20	CS Alagoano - Confiança	1:1 ✺
01.09.20	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLTWT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
17.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Tigre	4:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.20	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Operário Ferroviario - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
17.04.13	Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança	1:1 pen.
10.04.13	Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺

Confiança - Guaraní Asuncion