Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Club León		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.77
	4.7	3.7	1.7	Watch
	4.1	3.84	1.82	Watch
	4	3.4	1.67
	4.58	3.65	1.72	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.47)	3.71 ↓ (3.9)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
20.8%

Draw
25.1%

Cruz Azul
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

24.2%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Club León - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - León (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 1 - 50%). Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (G) 5. Vegas S. 21. Barreiro S. (C) 20. Echeverria R. 26. Reyes S. 7. Moreno I. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 4. Colula B. 29. Rodriguez I. 18. Funes Mori R. 11. Diaz I.	1. Gudino A. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 33. Piovi G. 2. Sanchez J. 16. Marquez J. 19. Rodriguez C. 29. Rotondi C. 18. Romero L. 20. Paradela J. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
19. Alvarado A. 13. Arcila D. 27. Cambindo D. 16. Cortizo J. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 24. Estrada A. 2. Gauthier V. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 28. Ramirez D. 33. Villegas A.	17. Garcia A. 203. Gonzalez R. 214. Levy M. 194. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 8. Palavecino A. 22. Rodarte J. 200. Sanchez E. 239. Valdez D. 193. Velazquez K.
Coaches
Ambriz I.	Larcamon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Diaz I. ⚽, Beltran Cruz F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Colula B. ⚽, Reyes S. (A),
52', Romero L. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
60', Reyes S. 🟨,
62', Moreno I. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
62', Funes Mori R. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
65', Paradela J. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
65', Marquez J. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
77', Rodriguez C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
79', Diaz I. ↓, Gauthier V. ↑,
79', Colula B. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
87', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽, Morales A. (A),
90+2', Ditta W. 🟨,
90+7', Echeverria R. 🟨,
90+8', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 0.

Cruz Azul's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

León may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cruz Azul is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K. (Injury) Montano A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

Cruz Azul: 11.88% Club Leon: 4.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Club Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
Club Friendly
20.12.25	Club León - Leones Negros UdeG	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
08.11.25	Club León - Puebla	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Club América - Club León	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Club León - UNAM	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Atlas - Club León	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL
- Cruz Azul FC
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Jaiba Brava - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
10.12.25	Cruz Azul - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
06.12.25	Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	4:1
11.05.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	2:1
08.05.25	Club León - Cruz Azul	2:3
15.04.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	2:1
14.09.24	Club León - Cruz Azul	1:2
21.02.24	Club León - Cruz Azul	2:3
28.10.23	Cruz Azul - Club León	1:0

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