The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 42.4%
Draw 28.7%
Chivas Guadalajara 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
26.9%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
25.4%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
6.7%
6.7%
Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Cruz Azul (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruz Azul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 4. Ditta W. 17. Garcia A. 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 20. Paradela J. 8. Palavecino A. 19. Rodriguez C. (C) 29. Rotondi C. 11. Ebere C.
13. Whalley O. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 19. Campillo Del Campo D. 2. Castillo J. 5. Gonzalez B. 6. Govea O. 28. Gonzalez F. (C) 226. Sandoval S. 17. Marin R. 10. Alvarez E. 20. Sepulveda A.
Substitutes
170. Castro A. 209. Diaz J. 1. Gudino A. (G) 32. Jimenez C. 214. Levy M. 10. Montano A. 194. Morales A. 18. Romero L. 197. Silva I. 193. Velazquez K.
67. Aguayo S. 26. Camberos H. 24. Gomez M. 225. Inda S. 198. Latorre D. 201. Liceaga J. (G) 31. Padilla Y. 18. Perez J. 3. Sepulveda G. 4. Tapias M.
Coaches
Huiqui J.
Milito G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Sepulveda A. 🟨,
17', Ebere C. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Sandoval S. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gonzalez B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Sepulveda A. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Ebere C. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Campos O. 🟨,
68', Marin R. 🟨,
69', Campos O. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
69', Marin R. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
79', Paradela J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
80', Sandoval S. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
80', Castillo J. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
84', Ledezma R. 🟨,
84', Palavecino A. 🟨,
88', Garcia A. 🟨,
90', Ledezma R. ↓, Tapias M. ↑,
90+1', Garcia A. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
90+1', Ebere C. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
90+1', Palavecino A. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
90+3', Montano A. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4.
Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Guadalajara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cruz Azul could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
Brazil
Mexico
South-america
Usa
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Mier K. (G) 
Marquez J. 
Piovi G. 
Ebere C. 
Whalley O. (G) 
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