Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Jaiba Brava		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	4.08	3.69	1.73	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	3.94	4.04	1.76	Watch
	4.25	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (5.87)	3.81 ↓ (4.05)	1.74 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
22.8%

Draw
24.2%

Cruz Azul
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

22.9%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

22.9%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Jaiba Brava - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Marquez J. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

Jaiba Brava is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cruz Azul has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cruz Azul is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.12.25	Jaiba Brava - Irapuato	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Irapuato - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWW
- Cruz Azul FC
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
10.12.25	Cruz Azul - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
06.12.25	Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	3:2 ✺
27.11.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWT

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