Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio León (León)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Club León		Toluca

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.8
	3.88	4	1.8
	3.77	4.03	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.75
	3.85	3.95	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.94)	3.84 ↓ (3.89)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
24.6%

Draw
23.8%

Toluca
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

22.9%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Club León - Toluca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 27. Aleman I. 22. Cortes S. 2. Garcia M. 5. Gutierrez D. 29. Jasso K. 10. Lemos S. 4. Lozada A. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. (C) 15. Soto K.	12. Martinez V. (G) 23. Diaz B. (C) 5. Erceg A. 11. Guatemala D. 28. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 99. Le Sommer E. 13. Lopez V. 2. Martinez K. 7. Peraza C. 25. Robert F.
Substitutes
33. Barrientos Y. 8. Bravo L. R. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 18. Carter T. 20. Garcia L. 25. Herrera L. 9. Lema J. 12. Lien Le C. 26. Ramirez A. 21. Villanueva A.	14. Blackwood D. 10. Cuevas B. 8. Fernandez K. 16. Fernandez L. 1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 29. Pavi M. 15. Ramirez M. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 21. Valadez N.
Coaches
Corona A.	Lair P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Soto K. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Cortes S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Peraza C. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
46', Lopez V. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
46', Gutierrez D. ↓, Bravo L. R. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Henry A. ⚽,
57', Lemos S. 🟨,
58', Rausch Tamayo M. A. 🟨,
58', Jakobsson S. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
58', Diaz B. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Erceg A. ⚽,
75', Aleman I. ↓, Villanueva A. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 0.

León is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toluca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Toluca might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, León won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
27.03.26	UNAM - Club León	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Club León - Atlas	4:0 ✺
16.03.26	Club León - Mazatlan	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Club America - Club León	4:2 ✺
21.02.26	Tijuana - Club León	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
27.03.26	Mazatlan - Toluca	2:3 ✺
20.03.26	Toluca - Necaxa	5:1 ✺
16.03.26	Club America - Toluca	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Toluca - UNAM	4:2 ✺
20.02.26	Santos Laguna - Toluca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
09.08.25	Toluca - Club León	1:0
05.01.25	Club León - Toluca	1:1
23.09.24	Toluca - Club León	2:0
23.03.24	Toluca - Club León	0:0
16.10.23	Club León - Toluca	0:1
01.05.23	Toluca - Club León	2:0
24.10.22	Club León - Toluca	1:2

Club León - Toluca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide