Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Santos Laguna		Toluca

	1	X	2
	8.6	5.5	1.23
	8.78	5.5	1.27
	9.12	5.48	1.29	Watch
	8.5	4.8	1.25
	10.7	5.1	1.23
	6.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.7 ↑ (6.57)	5.15 ↑ (4.44)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
10.5%

Draw
17.8%

Toluca
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.4%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.8%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-4%)

Santos Laguna - Toluca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 9. Calvillo S. 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 22. Ikechukwu V. 5. Novella Y. 4. Peraza M. 3. Pickard S. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 20. Romero Torres L. M.	12. Martinez V. (G) 14. Blackwood D. 10. Cuevas B. 5. Erceg A. 16. Fernandez L. 11. Guatemala D. 28. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 99. Le Sommer E. 2. Martinez K. 7. Peraza C. (C)
Substitutes
44. Cisneros Aguiar E. 51. De Santiago Melendez J. 21. Felix Rosales J. G. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 17. Martinez M. 24. Padilla D. 23. Rivas T. (G) 25. Ruiz M. 18. Serna A. 19. Valle M.	8. Fernandez K. 31. Jimenez S. (G) 3. Lopez J. 26. Munoz I. 15. Ramirez M. 25. Robert F. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 9. Roman M. 19. Vazquez E.
Coaches
Lazcano J.	Lair P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez L. ↓, Robert F. ↑,
53', Guatemala D. ↓, Rodriguez Perez Y. ↑,
53', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
59', Gomez A. ↓, Felix Rosales J. G. ↑,
74', Rodriguez D. ↓, Guevara Ortega C. ↑,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 0.

Recent form of Santos Laguna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toluca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Santos Laguna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Toluca is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
14.02.26	Necaxa - Santos Laguna	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Puebla - Santos Laguna	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Santos Laguna - Monterrey	1:5 ✺
25.01.26	UNAM - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLL
- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
16.02.26	Toluca - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Monterrey - Toluca	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Toluca - Atlético San Luis	4:0 ✺
30.01.26	Toluca - Juárez	3:2 ✺
26.01.26	Querétaro - Toluca	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
19.07.25	Toluca - Santos Laguna	1:0
09.02.25	Toluca - Santos Laguna	2:1
06.07.24	Santos Laguna - Toluca	0:2
07.01.24	Toluca - Santos Laguna	7:0
02.10.23	Santos Laguna - Toluca	2:2
20.03.23	Santos Laguna - Toluca	0:2
29.07.22	Toluca - Santos Laguna	2:0

Santos Laguna - Toluca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide