The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club America 68.3%
Draw 17.8%
Toluca 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
18.5%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.5%
17.6%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club America has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club America than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Club America - Toluca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Velasco I. (G) 18. Antonio N. 5. Garcia G. 17. Geyse 8. Guerrero I. (C) 22. Luebbert S. 26. Luna K. 4. Okeke C. 28. Ramos M. 15. Rodriguez K. 19. Saldivar M.
12. Martinez V. (G) 10. Cuevas B. 5. Erceg A. 16. Fernandez L. (C) 11. Guatemala D. 28. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 99. Le Sommer E. 2. Martinez K. 26. Munoz I. 25. Robert F.
Substitutes
11. Avilez A. 10. Camberos S. 21. Espinosa D. 2. Isa Haas 1. Panos S. (G) 13. Pineda X. 30. Riley G. 3. Rodriguez K. 14. Soto A.
14. Blackwood D. 23. Diaz B. 8. Fernandez K. 13. Lopez V. 1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 7. Peraza C. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 21. Valadez N. 6. Vazquez S.
Coaches
Villacampa A.
Lair P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
5', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Robert F. ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, Robert F. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 2 - 2, Guerrero I. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 2 - 3, Robert F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Antonio N. ↓, Pineda X. ↑,
46', Guatemala D. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
46', Guerrero I. ↓, Avilez A. ↑,
48', Fernandez L. 🟨,
75', 3 - 3, Avilez A. ⚽,
80', Luna K. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 7-1.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, America won 2.
America has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Toluca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, America is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that America will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, America won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:30. (average 2.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, America won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).
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Velasco I. (G) 
Garcia G. 
Geyse 
Guerrero I. (C) 
Luebbert S. 
Okeke C. 
Erceg A. 
Henry A. 
Jakobsson S. 
Blackwood D. 
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